Saturday, November 5, 2022

Casualties Mounting on Ukrainian Lines? Positive Biases in the Ukraine war.

This week our learning material stressed nothing but the effects of media negativity on views of politicians. But what about when the media has positive biases? This can happen in wartime as there have been whole books written about how positive biases and overconfidence in winning can effect wars. 

https://www.hup.harvard.edu/catalog.php?isbn=9780674015760

There's also the fact that currently Ukraine is losing up to 1,000 men in the Donbass region since June. They also, of course, need more weapons to fight their war. 

https://www.axios.com/2022/06/15/ukraine-1000-casualties-day-donbas-arakhamia

There is also Russia's ability to effectively employ Shaheed-136 drones in Ukraine meaning that, "nowhere is safe." They will also soon be buying more missiles from Iran to shore up their dwindling missile supplies in the war against Ukraine. 

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jpeSQ3ak3X8&t=305s

Now, overall Russia is still losing the war. What it needs to turn itself around is a battlefield victory to increase morale and then follow that up with more victories to secure their gains. All in all, highly unlikely, but you will never know what is true in the fog of war. 

- Stay Tuned 

1 comment:

  1. The fog of war is a real issue. The public's perception of war can be very influential in how well it is received and how engaged a country can be. I think the war in Afghanistan is a prime example. We just found out in the last couple years that we were not doing nearly as well as perceived. President Bush had us fooled about how well we were doing and the impact that we really had. Makes you wonder...

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